Choco vs Barco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.8%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
28.5%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+46%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
PON
2 - 0
CHO
46%
24%
29%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
CHO
1 - 0
POR
66%
18%
16%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
ANT
3 - 4
CHO
31%
25%
44%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
CHO
5 - 1
MOA
74%
16%
11%
|
21 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
CEL
0 - 1
CHO
58%
21%
20%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Barco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
BAR
1 - 2
UDA
65%
20%
15%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
PON
0 - 4
BAR
31%
24%
46%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
CAM
0 - 3
BAR
31%
24%
45%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
BAR
3 - 0
POR
59%
21%
20%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
ANT
1 - 2
BAR
40%
24%
35%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | +1 |