Choco vs Barbadás analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.1%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
13.2%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+51%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2018 |
BOI
2 - 1
CHO
59%
21%
19%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
CHO
2 - 2
RCV
39%
26%
35%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
LAR
2 - 0
CHO
25%
25%
51%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | -2 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
CHO
0 - 2
RIB
67%
19%
14%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
SIL
0 - 3
CHO
30%
25%
45%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Barbadás
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2018 |
BAR
1 - 2
ARE
48%
25%
28%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
VIL
0 - 1
BAR
33%
25%
42%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
BAR
2 - 2
NEG
54%
24%
22%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
OUR
3 - 1
BAR
59%
23%
19%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
BAR
0 - 4
NOI
61%
22%
17%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |