Choco vs Arosa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.5%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
30.8%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
BAR
0 - 1
CHO
42%
26%
33%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
CHO
6 - 1
BER
80%
14%
6%
|
24 | 14 | 10 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
LAR
2 - 1
CHO
26%
26%
48%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
CHO
1 - 1
BOI
48%
25%
27%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
CUL
0 - 1
CHO
21%
23%
56%
|
25 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Arosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
ORD
4 - 0
ARO
35%
27%
38%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
ARO
3 - 0
BAR
58%
23%
19%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
BER
0 - 0
ARO
11%
20%
69%
|
28 | 13 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
ARO
2 - 0
LAR
65%
20%
15%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
BOI
1 - 1
ARO
41%
25%
34%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |