Choco vs Arenteiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.5%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.2%
12.3%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
CHO
1 - 1
NEG
71%
18%
11%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
OUR
0 - 1
CHO
40%
25%
35%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
CHO
1 - 1
NOI
77%
15%
8%
|
25 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
ALO
2 - 0
CHO
46%
24%
29%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
CHO
1 - 1
ARO
44%
25%
31%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Arenteiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
BER
3 - 0
ARE
79%
15%
7%
|
18 | 36 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
ARE
5 - 0
VIL
61%
21%
17%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
NEG
1 - 0
ARE
47%
24%
29%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
ARE
0 - 1
OUR
34%
25%
42%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
NOI
3 - 2
ARE
29%
25%
47%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | -1 |