Choco vs Alondras CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.9%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
23.7%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-46%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
BAR
2 - 0
CHO
57%
22%
21%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
CHO
2 - 0
PON
64%
20%
17%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
OUR
1 - 0
CHO
61%
22%
17%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
CHO
2 - 1
POL
20%
23%
58%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | +2 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
NOI
3 - 0
CHO
32%
26%
42%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Alondras CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2022 |
RCV
1 - 0
ALO
55%
23%
21%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
ALO
1 - 2
POL
20%
24%
57%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
VIV
2 - 0
ALO
36%
25%
39%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | -2 |
| 16 Feb. 2022 |
ARN
2 - 2
ALO
26%
25%
50%
|
26 | 16 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
ALO
0 - 2
NOI
57%
24%
19%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | -1 |