Choco vs Alertanavia CP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.5%
Win probability
3.04
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.5%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.3%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.7%
3-0
11%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.4%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.2%
10.9%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.9%
5.6%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+91%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
PON
0 - 0
CHO
60%
21%
19%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
CHO
4 - 1
CAM
52%
22%
26%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
POR
3 - 2
CHO
46%
24%
30%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
CHO
1 - 3
BOU
14%
22%
65%
|
18 | 37 | 19 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
ARZ
3 - 1
CHO
59%
22%
19%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Alertanavia CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
ALE
1 - 2
VEL
19%
21%
61%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
BAR
3 - 1
ALE
84%
11%
5%
|
9 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
ALE
1 - 0
ALL
9%
14%
78%
|
8 | 17 | 9 | +1 |