Choco U19 vs RS Gimnástica U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.9%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
18.2%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
+17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
1
13º
15º
13º
5
7º
15º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
10 | 73 |
1º
|
45.5% | |
|
1º
|
10 | 73 |
2º
|
39.5% | |
|
5º
|
7 | 60 |
3º
|
28% | |
|
4º
|
8 | 58 |
4º
|
25% | |
|
2º
|
10 | 54 |
5º
|
28% | |
|
6º
|
6 | 44 |
6º
|
20.5% | |
|
7º
|
6 | 41 |
7º
|
11% | |
|
9º
|
6 | 38 |
8º
|
10% | |
|
8º
|
6 | 37 |
9º
|
12.5% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 35 |
10º
|
12.5% | |
|
13º
|
3 | 32 |
11º
|
11.5% | |
|
12º
|
4 | 30 |
12º
|
13.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
1 | 27 |
13º
|
13% | |
|
|
11º
|
5 | 25 |
14º
|
12% | |
|
15º
|
1 | 24 |
15º
|
16% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 23 |
16º
|
22% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Copa del Rey U18
|
0% | 0% |
|
Possible next round
|
1.5% | 1% |
|
Mid-table
|
51% | 40% |
|
Relegation
|
47.5% | 59% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Choco U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
ATL
3 - 2
CHO
47%
22%
30%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
CHO
1 - 2
VAL
37%
24%
39%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
OVI
2 - 0
CHO
67%
19%
14%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
CHO
4 - 0
COV
57%
22%
21%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
SPO
2 - 2
CHO
70%
18%
13%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
RS Gimnástica U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
GIM
1 - 1
PON
38%
23%
39%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
DEP
6 - 0
GIM
91%
7%
2%
|
12 | 33 | 21 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
GIM
2 - 1
VER
28%
24%
48%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
GIM
0 - 2
OVI
21%
22%
57%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
BAN
0 - 1
GIM
61%
20%
19%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | +1 |