Choco U19 vs Deportivo U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.4%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.5%
1-0
2.5%
2-1
2.3%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
5.5%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.7%
78.9%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22%
0-3
10.9%
1-4
5%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
17%
0-4
7.2%
1-5
2.7%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
10.3%
0-5
3.8%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5.2%
0-6
1.7%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.2%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
12º
16º
12º
46
1º
2º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 79 |
1º
|
69% | |
|
|
2º
|
46 | 75 |
2º
|
69% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 59 |
3º
|
60.5% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 56 |
4º
|
47% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 49 |
5º
|
46% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 43 |
6º
|
32.5% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 40 |
7º
|
23.5% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 39 |
8º
|
20.5% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 36 |
9º
|
19% | |
|
10º
|
21 | 36 |
10º
|
16% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 31 |
11º
|
19% | |
|
|
14º
|
14 | 29 |
12º
|
25.5% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 26 |
13º
|
18.5% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 25 |
14º
|
19.5% | |
|
16º
|
13 | 24 |
15º
|
26% | |
|
15º
|
13 | 21 |
16º
|
40.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 31% |
|
Copa del Rey U18
|
0% | 69% |
|
Possible next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
58.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
41.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Choco U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
VER
2 - 1
CHO
38%
23%
39%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
CHO
0 - 2
SPO
21%
21%
58%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
BAN
1 - 4
CHO
57%
20%
23%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
CHO
2 - 2
SDC
24%
21%
55%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
ARO
3 - 0
CHO
54%
22%
25%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Deportivo U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
DEP
4 - 0
PON
89%
8%
3%
|
37 | 16 | 21 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
DEP
2 - 0
REA
88%
9%
4%
|
37 | 19 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
VER
1 - 5
DEP
8%
14%
78%
|
36 | 15 | 21 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
DEP
1 - 0
SPO
79%
13%
9%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
BAN
0 - 5
DEP
12%
16%
72%
|
35 | 17 | 18 | +1 |