Choco Sub 19 vs CD Lugo Sub 19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.2%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.1%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.6%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
64.4%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.1%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Choco Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2021 |
FER
0 - 3
CHO
32%
23%
45%
|
9 | 6 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
URA
1 - 1
CHO
57%
21%
22%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
PAB
1 - 0
CHO
43%
23%
34%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
VAL
4 - 0
CHO
65%
19%
17%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
CHO
3 - 1
CON
49%
22%
29%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
CD Lugo Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
LUG
4 - 2
CEL
6%
14%
81%
|
12 | 32 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2021 |
LUG
0 - 1
PAB
60%
22%
18%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2021 |
VAL
1 - 0
LUG
54%
22%
24%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
LUG
1 - 0
CON
69%
18%
13%
|
13 | 8 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
CDC
0 - 5
LUG
22%
21%
57%
|
12 | 8 | 4 | +1 |