Chlef vs USM Alger analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.3%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.7%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
29%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chlef
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2013 |
CAB
1 - 0
CHL
29%
30%
41%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
CHL
3 - 0
TLE
58%
24%
18%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2013 |
ORA
2 - 0
CHL
38%
27%
35%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
BBA
0 - 1
CHL
29%
30%
41%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
CHL
3 - 0
HAR
40%
28%
33%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
USM Alger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
ORA
0 - 1
USM
40%
27%
33%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2013 |
ISM
0 - 0
USM
53%
25%
22%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2013 |
USM
2 - 1
HUS
76%
17%
8%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2013 |
TLE
0 - 1
USM
34%
29%
38%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2013 |
USM
0 - 0
ISM
48%
25%
28%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |