Chkherimela vs Gagra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.7%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.3%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.4%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
56.5%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.4%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chkherimela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
SHU
5 - 0
CHK
75%
16%
9%
|
34 | 53 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2013 |
CHK
2 - 0
DIN
21%
23%
56%
|
34 | 50 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2013 |
CHK
3 - 1
ADE
63%
19%
18%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2013 |
CHK
1 - 5
TSK
21%
26%
54%
|
36 | 61 | 25 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2013 |
ADE
0 - 0
CHK
39%
22%
39%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Gagra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
GAG
5 - 2
MER
76%
15%
8%
|
49 | 30 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2013 |
GAG
1 - 1
MET
18%
24%
58%
|
50 | 70 | 20 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2013 |
SHU
2 - 2
GAG
55%
23%
22%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2013 |
GAG
2 - 0
TEL
46%
25%
30%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
DIN
1 - 1
GAG
59%
21%
20%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |