Chispa SD vs Libertad SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.7%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.7%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.1%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.6%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.8%
6.5%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+90%
+178%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chispa SD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
POR
1 - 3
CHI
18%
18%
63%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
CHI
0 - 1
CAT
81%
12%
6%
|
15 | 7 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
VIL
1 - 5
CHI
32%
20%
48%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
NOA
1 - 3
CHI
45%
22%
33%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
CHI
8 - 1
XIL
73%
16%
11%
|
12 | 5 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Libertad SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
CAT
3 - 1
LIB
60%
19%
21%
|
8 | 9 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
LIB
3 - 2
VIL
30%
21%
49%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
LIB
1 - 2
NOA
22%
21%
56%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
XIL
1 - 2
LIB
55%
20%
26%
|
7 | 5 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
LIB
1 - 3
USD
52%
20%
28%
|
8 | 6 | 2 | -1 |