Chispa SD vs Catoira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.2%
Win probability
2.82
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.1%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.5%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.8%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
12.3%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.3%
6.4%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+90%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chispa SD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
VIL
1 - 5
CHI
32%
20%
48%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
NOA
1 - 3
CHI
45%
22%
33%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
CHI
8 - 1
XIL
73%
16%
11%
|
12 | 5 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
USD
3 - 4
CHI
20%
18%
62%
|
12 | 6 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
CHI
7 - 0
BAM
68%
17%
15%
|
11 | 5 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Catoira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2024 |
XIL
1 - 1
CAT
44%
20%
35%
|
7 | 5 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
CAT
0 - 6
NOA
28%
22%
51%
|
8 | 13 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
CAT
2 - 4
USD
56%
19%
25%
|
10 | 8 | 2 | -2 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
BAM
0 - 2
CAT
33%
21%
47%
|
9 | 5 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
CAT
1 - 0
BEI
23%
18%
59%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | +2 |