Chirk AAA vs Prestatyn Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.8%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.8%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3.4%
4-4
0.9%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.5%
39.7%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
5%
3-4
1.7%
4-5
0.4%
5-6
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-68%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
12º
15º
13º
43
2º
9º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 85 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
77 | 77 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
65 | 65 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
43 | 46 |
6º
|
50% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
50% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 35 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 31 |
11º
|
49% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 28 |
12º
|
63.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
26 | 26 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 23 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
16 | 16 |
15º
|
68% | |
|
16º
|
16 | 16 |
16º
|
68% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chirk AAA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
MSF
0 - 3
AAA
9%
15%
76%
|
33 | 8 | 25 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2022 |
MOL
1 - 0
AAA
40%
21%
39%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2022 |
AAA
2 - 1
POR
42%
21%
37%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
PEN
1 - 1
AAA
41%
23%
36%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2022 |
AAA
0 - 0
GRE
27%
21%
52%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Prestatyn Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
MTH
0 - 3
PRE
4%
8%
88%
|
33 | 8 | 25 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2022 |
POR
2 - 0
PRE
40%
21%
39%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2022 |
PRE
5 - 0
PEN
51%
21%
28%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | +2 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
PRE
2 - 2
LLA
53%
21%
27%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
GUI
1 - 3
PRE
71%
18%
12%
|
30 | 46 | 16 | +2 |