Chirk AAA vs Porthmadog analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.7%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.4%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.2%
40.1%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chirk AAA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
LLA
1 - 2
AAA
33%
21%
46%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
AAA
2 - 2
CAE
18%
18%
64%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
AAA
3 - 2
LLA
12%
16%
72%
|
20 | 39 | 19 | +4 |
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
DEN
6 - 1
AAA
88%
8%
4%
|
21 | 43 | 22 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
AAA
1 - 4
MOL
10%
15%
75%
|
22 | 45 | 23 | -1 |
Matches
Porthmadog
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
POR
0 - 3
AIR
7%
15%
79%
|
27 | 53 | 26 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
GUI
4 - 0
POR
75%
16%
9%
|
28 | 44 | 16 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
POR
1 - 3
BUC
28%
22%
50%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | -2 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
POR
0 - 1
GRE
37%
23%
40%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
LLA
1 - 2
POR
27%
21%
52%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | 0 |