Chirk AAA vs Flint Town United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.5%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.4%
71.7%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
14.2%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.8%
0-3
10%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
13.9%
0-4
5.3%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.9%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chirk AAA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
RTW
3 - 2
AAA
77%
13%
10%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
PEN
2 - 4
AAA
31%
22%
48%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
MOL
5 - 2
AAA
58%
19%
24%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2023 |
AAA
0 - 1
DEN
24%
20%
56%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
AAA
2 - 0
LLA
55%
20%
25%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Flint Town United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
FLI
1 - 1
HOL
43%
24%
32%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
FLI
3 - 2
CAE
82%
13%
6%
|
54 | 33 | 21 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2023 |
FLI
3 - 0
GRE
82%
13%
5%
|
54 | 36 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2023 |
RTW
1 - 1
FLI
20%
24%
57%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
FLI
2 - 1
PRE
76%
15%
9%
|
54 | 38 | 16 | 0 |