Chirk AAA vs Bangor 1876 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.3%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.4%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.5%
50.2%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chirk AAA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
CPD
3 - 2
AAA
62%
18%
20%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
AAA
0 - 2
HOL
10%
17%
72%
|
27 | 56 | 29 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2023 |
AAA
2 - 2
GUI
15%
21%
63%
|
25 | 47 | 22 | +2 |
| 26 Dec. 2023 |
GUI
4 - 0
AAA
75%
16%
10%
|
25 | 46 | 21 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2023 |
GRE
6 - 0
AAA
70%
17%
14%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Bangor 1876
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
HOL
2 - 1
CPD
76%
15%
9%
|
33 | 57 | 24 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
CPD
3 - 2
AAA
62%
18%
20%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2024 |
AIR
4 - 0
CPD
81%
12%
7%
|
33 | 49 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2024 |
CPD
4 - 1
POR
37%
21%
42%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | +2 |
| 26 Dec. 2023 |
POR
0 - 4
CPD
65%
18%
18%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | +3 |