Chirk AAA vs Conwy Borough FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.8%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
8%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.5%
27.7%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
12º
15º
13º
23
11º
16º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 85 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
77 | 77 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
65 | 65 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 46 |
6º
|
50% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
50% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 35 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 31 |
11º
|
49% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 28 |
12º
|
63.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
26 | 26 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
23 | 23 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
16 | 16 |
15º
|
68% | |
|
16º
|
16 | 16 |
16º
|
68% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chirk AAA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
AAA
1 - 2
RTW
27%
22%
51%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2023 |
HOL
0 - 0
AAA
47%
22%
32%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2022 |
AAA
1 - 6
LLA
14%
21%
66%
|
32 | 48 | 16 | -3 |
| 07 Dec. 2022 |
CEF
6 - 1
AAA
75%
14%
12%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
AAA
0 - 0
CEF
27%
21%
52%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Conwy Borough FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
CON
1 - 3
GRE
26%
22%
51%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2023 |
CON
3 - 1
PEN
49%
22%
30%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Dec. 2022 |
POR
3 - 1
CON
61%
19%
20%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2022 |
CON
2 - 3
PRE
20%
19%
62%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
PRE
5 - 2
CON
70%
16%
14%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | 0 |