Chirk AAA vs Caersws analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.9%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
10.9%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18.2%
63.8%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
2.9%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
12.4%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.7%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chirk AAA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
AAA
3 - 2
LLA
12%
16%
72%
|
20 | 39 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
DEN
6 - 1
AAA
88%
8%
4%
|
21 | 43 | 22 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
AAA
1 - 4
MOL
10%
15%
75%
|
22 | 45 | 23 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2024 |
PRE
2 - 1
AAA
75%
14%
11%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
AAA
0 - 3
PRE
20%
18%
62%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | -2 |
Matches
Caersws
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2024 |
GUI
2 - 2
CAE
63%
20%
17%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
CAE
2 - 1
PRE
49%
20%
31%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
RTW
1 - 2
CAE
65%
19%
16%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
CAE
1 - 2
FLI
12%
20%
68%
|
33 | 57 | 24 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
CAE
1 - 1
GRE
47%
22%
31%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |