FA Trophy 1/64
Global 3-4
Chippenham Town vs Wingate & Finchley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.9%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
12.6%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chippenham Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
CHI
3 - 1
WEA
44%
25%
31%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
STA
2 - 3
CHI
60%
21%
19%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2018 |
CHM
1 - 0
CHI
54%
23%
23%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
CHI
2 - 2
WOK
42%
24%
33%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2018 |
OXF
1 - 1
CHI
48%
24%
28%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Wingate & Finchley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2018 |
WIN
0 - 4
KIN
36%
24%
40%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
BOG
4 - 2
WIN
44%
23%
33%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2018 |
BRI
0 - 1
WIN
34%
24%
42%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
TIV
2 - 3
WIN
61%
21%
19%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | +2 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
POT
4 - 0
WIN
53%
23%
24%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | -2 |