FA Cup 1/256
Global 3-2
Chippenham Town vs Hendon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.8%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
13.9%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chippenham Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
HEN
2 - 2
CHI
20%
25%
55%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
STA
1 - 1
CHI
32%
28%
41%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
MET
1 - 2
CHI
38%
26%
36%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2022 |
CHI
0 - 1
SLO
59%
22%
19%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
CHI
2 - 1
DUL
69%
19%
12%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Hendon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
HEN
2 - 2
CHI
20%
25%
55%
|
30 | 45 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
HEN
0 - 0
BIN
34%
22%
43%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
HEN
3 - 2
HER
41%
25%
34%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | +2 |
| 27 Sep. 2022 |
HEN
0 - 0
CHE
20%
22%
58%
|
27 | 42 | 15 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
WIN
1 - 1
HEN
64%
19%
18%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | 0 |