Chinchilla vs Alatoz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.6%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
9.4%
17%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17%
68.3%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
5%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
13.8%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.7%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.6%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-72%
+1400%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chinchilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
CHI
1 - 1
ANU
31%
21%
48%
|
8 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
CHI
2 - 2
INB
36%
21%
43%
|
8 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
VIL
2 - 2
CHI
51%
21%
28%
|
8 | 8 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
CHI
1 - 3
UDT
27%
21%
52%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
VIL
4 - 0
CHI
83%
12%
5%
|
9 | 19 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Alatoz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
AJU
0 - 5
ALA
11%
16%
73%
|
14 | 6 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
CHA
0 - 2
ALA
9%
15%
76%
|
13 | 6 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
ALA
1 - 0
ALM
67%
16%
17%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
FLP
0 - 5
ALA
21%
18%
61%
|
12 | 6 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
ALA
8 - 1
ANU
46%
21%
34%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | +2 |