Apertura Nicaragua Eliminatorias Semi-finals
Global 2-3
Chinandega vs Real Estelí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.5%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.8%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.4%
57.1%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chinandega
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2020 |
JAP
0 - 2
CFC
53%
25%
22%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2020 |
WAL
4 - 0
CFC
66%
21%
13%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2020 |
CFC
1 - 1
JAP
36%
25%
39%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2020 |
CFC
0 - 0
MAN
29%
26%
46%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
JUV
5 - 1
CFC
62%
21%
18%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Real Estelí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2020 |
CSH
0 - 1
EST
59%
21%
20%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2020 |
EST
1 - 0
MAN
57%
24%
19%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2020 |
EST
1 - 1
64%
23%
13%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2020 |
DIR
2 - 2
EST
36%
27%
36%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
EST
1 - 1
WAL
54%
25%
21%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |