Chinandega vs Real Estelí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.5%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.7%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.6%
51.8%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
14.7%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chinandega
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
REA
2 - 3
CFC
50%
23%
27%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
CFC
1 - 1
JUV
31%
25%
44%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
DIR
2 - 0
CFC
64%
22%
14%
|
51 | 66 | 15 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2015 |
EST
2 - 0
CFC
71%
19%
11%
|
51 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2015 |
CFC
0 - 2
UNA
39%
25%
37%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Real Estelí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
JAP
0 - 1
EST
21%
28%
51%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2015 |
EST
4 - 0
JAP
68%
20%
13%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
EST
4 - 1
MAN
64%
22%
14%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2015 |
UNA
0 - 2
EST
31%
29%
40%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
JUV
0 - 3
EST
35%
27%
38%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |