Chinandega vs Real Estelí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.4%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
4%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.1%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
12.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
47.8%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
15.8%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.6%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chinandega
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2014 |
DIR
2 - 2
CFC
74%
17%
9%
|
50 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
WAL
2 - 1
CFC
68%
20%
12%
|
50 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
CFC
2 - 1
MAN
22%
27%
51%
|
49 | 65 | 16 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2013 |
FCS
1 - 3
CFC
61%
21%
18%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
CFC
2 - 2
REA
45%
25%
30%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Real Estelí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2014 |
EST
2 - 0
JUV
67%
20%
13%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
DEP
1 - 1
EST
39%
28%
33%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2013 |
EST
3 - 0
DEP
60%
22%
18%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
EST
3 - 2
DIR
48%
26%
26%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2013 |
WAL
1 - 0
EST
43%
29%
28%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | -1 |