Chinandega vs Walter Ferretti analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12%
24%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24%
59%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
14.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.1%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chinandega
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
MAN
4 - 0
CFC
74%
17%
9%
|
47 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2013 |
CFC
1 - 2
FCS
35%
26%
40%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
REA
3 - 1
CFC
49%
24%
27%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
CFC
4 - 5
JAP
32%
26%
43%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
CFC
1 - 2
DEP
30%
26%
45%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Walter Ferretti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
WAL
2 - 1
JUV
56%
25%
19%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2013 |
EST
3 - 0
WAL
51%
25%
24%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
WAL
0 - 1
DIR
44%
27%
29%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
DEP
1 - 2
WAL
38%
26%
35%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
MAN
1 - 2
WAL
44%
26%
30%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | +1 |