China vs Syria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.5%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
16.3%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
China
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
CHN
1 - 1
MAS
78%
15%
7%
|
80 | 57 | 23 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2023 |
CHN
2 - 0
PLE
71%
19%
10%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2023 |
CHN
4 - 0
MMR
85%
11%
4%
|
80 | 35 | 45 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
NZL
2 - 1
CHN
24%
25%
51%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2023 |
NZL
0 - 0
CHN
23%
25%
52%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Syria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2023 |
SYR
2 - 2
MAS
66%
20%
14%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2023 |
VIE
1 - 0
SYR
38%
25%
36%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2023 |
SYR
0 - 1
BHR
39%
26%
35%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
SYR
3 - 1
THA
37%
24%
40%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Dec. 2022 |
SYR
0 - 1
OMA
35%
26%
39%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |