China vs Syria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.6%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
11%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.1%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
+2
22.3%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.3%
8.1%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
China
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 2002 |
TUR
3 - 0
CHN
60%
21%
19%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2002 |
BRA
4 - 0
CHN
95%
4%
1%
|
84 | 99 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2002 |
CHN
0 - 2
CRC
42%
24%
33%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2002 |
CHN
0 - 2
POR
25%
25%
50%
|
85 | 95 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2002 |
CHN
0 - 2
URU
38%
26%
36%
|
85 | 91 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Syria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2002 |
SYR
2 - 4
IRN
26%
25%
50%
|
69 | 87 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2002 |
JOR
2 - 1
SYR
42%
27%
32%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2002 |
SYR
0 - 1
IRQ
24%
24%
53%
|
69 | 86 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2002 |
SYR
2 - 1
PLE
75%
15%
9%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2002 |
IRQ
2 - 1
SYR
74%
17%
9%
|
69 | 86 | 17 | 0 |