China vs Yugoslavia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.5%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.4%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
63.9%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
12.6%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.8%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
China
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2000 |
HKG
0 - 1
CHN
15%
22%
62%
|
83 | 56 | 27 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2000 |
YUG
1 - 0
CHN
79%
15%
6%
|
83 | 95 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2000 |
JPN
0 - 0
CHN
54%
24%
22%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2000 |
CHN
1 - 0
URU
28%
27%
45%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2000 |
CHN
1 - 0
NZL
71%
17%
12%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Yugoslavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2000 |
YUG
1 - 0
CHN
79%
15%
6%
|
95 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2000 |
MKD
1 - 2
YUG
7%
15%
78%
|
95 | 74 | 21 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1999 |
CRO
2 - 2
YUG
26%
23%
51%
|
95 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1999 |
MKD
2 - 4
YUG
6%
16%
78%
|
95 | 73 | 22 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1999 |
YUG
3 - 1
MKD
94%
5%
1%
|
95 | 73 | 22 | 0 |