China vs Tunisia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.9%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.3%
9.8%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
China
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 1988 |
CHN
0 - 2
SWE
35%
28%
38%
|
78 | 89 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1988 |
CHN
0 - 3
DEU
72%
18%
10%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 1988 |
JPN
0 - 3
CHN
37%
26%
37%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1987 |
MEX
3 - 2
CHN
72%
19%
9%
|
78 | 89 | 11 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 1986 |
CHN
0 - 2
AUS
58%
21%
21%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Tunisia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 1988 |
TUN
1 - 4
DEU
53%
26%
21%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1988 |
SWE
2 - 2
TUN
75%
18%
7%
|
70 | 89 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 1988 |
LBN
1 - 1
TUN
35%
27%
38%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 1988 |
EGY
1 - 0
TUN
66%
20%
14%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 1988 |
KSA
1 - 1
TUN
60%
22%
18%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |