China vs Sweden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.5%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
38%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
China
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1988 |
CHN
0 - 3
DEU
72%
18%
10%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1988 |
JPN
0 - 3
CHN
37%
26%
37%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1987 |
MEX
3 - 2
CHN
72%
19%
9%
|
78 | 89 | 11 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 1986 |
CHN
0 - 2
AUS
58%
21%
21%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 1986 |
KWT
0 - 0
CHN
52%
24%
24%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1988 |
SWE
2 - 2
TUN
75%
18%
7%
|
89 | 70 | 19 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1988 |
SWE
1 - 2
DEN
58%
25%
17%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 1988 |
ESP
1 - 3
SWE
55%
25%
21%
|
89 | 91 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 1988 |
SWE
4 - 1
WAL
61%
25%
14%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1988 |
SWE
2 - 0
SUN
32%
30%
39%
|
89 | 93 | 4 | 0 |