China vs Catar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.7%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
21.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
China
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
CHN
4 - 0
MDV
84%
12%
4%
|
82 | 44 | 38 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2015 |
HKG
0 - 0
CHN
13%
20%
68%
|
82 | 52 | 30 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2015 |
CHN
12 - 0
BTN
89%
9%
2%
|
82 | 24 | 58 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2015 |
QAT
1 - 0
CHN
41%
26%
33%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2015 |
MDV
0 - 3
CHN
11%
19%
70%
|
83 | 46 | 37 | 0 |
Matches
Catar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
QAT
2 - 0
HKG
81%
14%
5%
|
80 | 52 | 28 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2015 |
BTN
0 - 3
QAT
6%
15%
79%
|
80 | 24 | 56 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2015 |
QAT
1 - 2
TUR
25%
26%
49%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2015 |
QAT
4 - 0
MDV
81%
14%
5%
|
80 | 46 | 34 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2015 |
QAT
1 - 0
CHN
41%
26%
33%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |