China vs Malaysia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.8%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.1%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.5%
3-0
13.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.8%
2-0
16.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.3%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
6%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
13.1%
5%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
China
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2004 |
CHN
2 - 1
HUN
42%
25%
33%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2004 |
ALG
0 - 1
CHN
42%
27%
31%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2004 |
AND
0 - 0
CHN
11%
19%
70%
|
84 | 53 | 31 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2004 |
HKG
0 - 1
CHN
18%
25%
58%
|
84 | 54 | 30 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2004 |
CHN
2 - 0
MMR
82%
13%
5%
|
84 | 51 | 33 | 0 |
Matches
Malaysia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2004 |
MAS
0 - 2
KWT
18%
22%
60%
|
57 | 81 | 24 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2004 |
MAS
0 - 0
IDN
37%
24%
38%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2004 |
MAS
1 - 3
HKG
58%
22%
20%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2004 |
JPN
4 - 0
MAS
79%
15%
6%
|
58 | 90 | 32 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2003 |
MAS
1 - 2
MMR
65%
19%
16%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | -1 |