China vs Japan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.6%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.7%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.7%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
55.8%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
China
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2004 |
CHN
1 - 1
IRN
31%
23%
46%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2004 |
CHN
3 - 0
IRQ
49%
23%
28%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2004 |
CHN
1 - 0
QAT
70%
18%
12%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2004 |
CHN
5 - 0
IDN
84%
11%
5%
|
85 | 61 | 24 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2004 |
CHN
2 - 2
BHR
74%
16%
10%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Japan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2004 |
BHR
3 - 4
JPN
6%
16%
78%
|
91 | 75 | 16 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2004 |
JPN
1 - 1
JOR
84%
12%
4%
|
91 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2004 |
JPN
0 - 0
IRN
57%
21%
22%
|
91 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2004 |
THA
1 - 4
JPN
9%
17%
75%
|
91 | 74 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2004 |
JPN
1 - 0
OMA
84%
12%
5%
|
91 | 77 | 14 | 0 |