China vs Japan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.4%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.2%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.8%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.9%
7.7%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
China
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 1992 |
CHN
1 - 1
PRK
73%
15%
11%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1992 |
USA
5 - 0
CHN
58%
22%
20%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 1992 |
CAN
5 - 2
CHN
45%
26%
30%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 1990 |
THA
1 - 0
CHN
33%
27%
40%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 1990 |
KOR
2 - 0
CHN
63%
24%
13%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Japan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 1992 |
JPN
0 - 0
KOR
16%
22%
62%
|
65 | 86 | 21 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1992 |
JPN
0 - 1
WAL
24%
26%
50%
|
65 | 85 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1992 |
JPN
0 - 1
ARG
17%
27%
57%
|
65 | 91 | 26 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 1991 |
JPN
0 - 1
KOR
17%
22%
61%
|
65 | 86 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1991 |
JPN
1 - 0
THA
61%
22%
17%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |