China vs Iraq analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.9%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
16.9%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
China
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2011 |
CHN
2 - 1
UAE
68%
20%
12%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2011 |
JOR
2 - 1
CHN
30%
28%
43%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2011 |
CHN
2 - 1
SGP
78%
15%
7%
|
86 | 64 | 22 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2011 |
CHN
1 - 0
JAM
58%
24%
19%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2011 |
LAO
1 - 6
CHN
8%
18%
74%
|
85 | 35 | 50 | 0 |
Matches
Iraq
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2011 |
SGP
0 - 2
IRQ
25%
25%
50%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2011 |
IRQ
0 - 2
JOR
55%
25%
20%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2011 |
QAT
0 - 1
IRQ
45%
26%
29%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2011 |
YEM
0 - 0
IRQ
18%
22%
60%
|
81 | 58 | 23 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2011 |
IRQ
2 - 0
YEM
72%
19%
10%
|
81 | 58 | 23 | 0 |