China vs Iraq analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.5%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
23.1%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
China
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2008 |
CHN
0 - 1
QAT
62%
22%
16%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2008 |
QAT
0 - 0
CHN
40%
28%
33%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2008 |
CHN
2 - 0
JOR
64%
22%
15%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2008 |
SLV
2 - 2
CHN
26%
27%
48%
|
84 | 67 | 17 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2008 |
MEX
1 - 0
CHN
76%
16%
8%
|
84 | 93 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Iraq
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2008 |
IRQ
1 - 0
AUS
28%
29%
43%
|
83 | 90 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2008 |
AUS
1 - 0
IRQ
60%
24%
17%
|
83 | 90 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2008 |
THA
2 - 1
IRQ
40%
25%
36%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2008 |
SYR
2 - 1
IRQ
33%
25%
42%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2008 |
QAT
2 - 0
IRQ
39%
27%
34%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |