China vs Estonia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.3%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
11%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.3%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.9%
7.9%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
China
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2003 |
CHN
0 - 0
BRA
15%
19%
65%
|
84 | 99 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2002 |
BHR
2 - 2
CHN
24%
27%
48%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2002 |
JOR
0 - 0
CHN
27%
28%
45%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2002 |
CHN
3 - 1
SYR
77%
15%
8%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2002 |
TUR
3 - 0
CHN
60%
21%
19%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Estonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2003 |
ECU
2 - 1
EST
69%
20%
11%
|
70 | 87 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2003 |
ECU
1 - 0
EST
69%
20%
11%
|
70 | 87 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2002 |
EST
2 - 0
ISL
35%
28%
36%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2002 |
EST
0 - 1
BEL
16%
22%
62%
|
69 | 93 | 24 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2002 |
EST
3 - 2
NZL
39%
25%
35%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |