China vs USA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.3%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
30%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
China
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 1997 |
CHN
2 - 1
USA
43%
25%
32%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1996 |
KSA
4 - 3
CHN
60%
23%
17%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 1996 |
JPN
1 - 0
CHN
68%
19%
13%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1996 |
SYR
0 - 3
CHN
40%
27%
33%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 1996 |
CHN
0 - 2
UZB
56%
23%
21%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
USA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 1997 |
CHN
2 - 1
USA
43%
25%
32%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1997 |
USA
1 - 4
DEN
29%
29%
42%
|
83 | 93 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1997 |
USA
0 - 2
MEX
34%
28%
38%
|
84 | 90 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 1997 |
USA
0 - 1
PER
62%
23%
16%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1996 |
GTM
2 - 2
USA
32%
27%
42%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |