China vs USA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.8%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
32.1%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
China
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 1996 |
KSA
4 - 3
CHN
60%
23%
17%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1996 |
JPN
1 - 0
CHN
68%
19%
13%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1996 |
SYR
0 - 3
CHN
40%
27%
33%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 1996 |
CHN
0 - 2
UZB
56%
23%
21%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 1996 |
CHN
2 - 3
KOR
30%
26%
44%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
USA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 1997 |
USA
1 - 4
DEN
29%
29%
42%
|
83 | 93 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1997 |
USA
0 - 2
MEX
34%
28%
38%
|
84 | 90 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 1997 |
USA
0 - 1
PER
62%
23%
16%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1996 |
GTM
2 - 2
USA
32%
27%
42%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1996 |
USA
2 - 1
CRC
58%
23%
19%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |