China vs Indonesia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.6%
11.3%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
China
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2024 |
AUS
3 - 1
CHN
71%
18%
11%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2024 |
CHN
1 - 2
KSA
44%
26%
30%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2024 |
JPN
7 - 0
CHN
80%
13%
7%
|
78 | 90 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2024 |
KOR
1 - 0
CHN
70%
18%
12%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 2024 |
CHN
1 - 1
THA
58%
22%
20%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Indonesia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2024 |
BHR
2 - 2
IDN
68%
19%
14%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2024 |
IDN
0 - 0
AUS
11%
20%
70%
|
58 | 88 | 30 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2024 |
KSA
1 - 1
IDN
74%
17%
9%
|
58 | 80 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2024 |
IDN
2 - 0
PHL
76%
15%
9%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2024 |
IDN
0 - 2
IRQ
18%
23%
59%
|
58 | 81 | 23 | 0 |