China vs Indonesia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.4%
Win probability
2.89
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.1%
5-0
5%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.7%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.3%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.5%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
11.3%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.3%
5.3%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
China
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2004 |
CHN
2 - 2
BHR
74%
16%
10%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2004 |
CHN
2 - 2
NPL
86%
10%
3%
|
85 | 41 | 44 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2004 |
CHN
6 - 0
LBN
78%
15%
7%
|
85 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2004 |
CHN
4 - 0
MAS
82%
13%
5%
|
85 | 57 | 28 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2004 |
CHN
2 - 1
HUN
42%
25%
33%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Indonesia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2004 |
QAT
1 - 2
IDN
71%
17%
11%
|
60 | 78 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2004 |
IDN
1 - 0
LKA
83%
12%
6%
|
60 | 44 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2004 |
IDN
1 - 1
IND
66%
19%
15%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2004 |
TKM
3 - 1
IDN
53%
21%
25%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2004 |
MAS
0 - 0
IDN
37%
24%
38%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |