China vs Indonesia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.2%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.4%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.5%
8.4%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
China
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2000 |
KOR
2 - 2
CHN
65%
21%
15%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2000 |
JOR
1 - 1
CHN
24%
26%
50%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2000 |
KSA
2 - 0
CHN
55%
24%
21%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2000 |
CHN
4 - 1
IRQ
37%
26%
37%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2000 |
CHN
3 - 1
THA
66%
19%
15%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Indonesia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2000 |
KWT
0 - 0
IDN
76%
15%
9%
|
65 | 83 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2000 |
IDN
1 - 0
TJK
76%
15%
9%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 1999 |
SGP
2 - 4
IDN
44%
25%
31%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | +2 |
| 12 Aug. 1999 |
IDN
0 - 1
VIE
65%
20%
16%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 1999 |
IDN
3 - 0
BHR
60%
22%
18%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | +1 |