China vs Hong Kong analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.6%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
5.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
<0%
+5
6.3%
4-0
10.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
12.3%
3-0
16%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.6%
2-0
18.4%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.8%
1-0
14%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.5%
10.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
0.9%
3-3
0.1%
0
10.6%
2.8%
Win probability
0.31
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
0.1%
-1
2.4%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
China
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 2023 |
CHN
0 - 2
OMA
51%
25%
24%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2023 |
CHN
0 - 3
KOR
23%
25%
53%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2023 |
THA
1 - 2
CHN
26%
25%
48%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2023 |
CHN
1 - 2
UZB
47%
25%
28%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2023 |
CHN
2 - 0
VIE
61%
22%
17%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Hong Kong
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2023 |
HKG
2 - 2
TKM
23%
23%
55%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2023 |
IRN
4 - 0
HKG
89%
9%
2%
|
43 | 89 | 46 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2023 |
BTN
2 - 0
HKG
12%
17%
71%
|
46 | 19 | 27 | -3 |
| 12 Oct. 2023 |
HKG
4 - 0
BTN
75%
15%
10%
|
46 | 20 | 26 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2023 |
HKG
10 - 0
BRN
73%
16%
12%
|
45 | 18 | 27 | +1 |