China vs Hong Kong analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.6%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.7%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.3%
3-0
13.1%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.2%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
12.3%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12.3%
5.1%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
China
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2004 |
KWT
1 - 0
CHN
41%
28%
32%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2004 |
MAS
0 - 1
CHN
16%
25%
59%
|
85 | 58 | 27 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2004 |
CHN
1 - 3
JPN
22%
23%
56%
|
85 | 91 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2004 |
CHN
1 - 1
IRN
31%
23%
46%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2004 |
CHN
3 - 0
IRQ
49%
23%
28%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Hong Kong
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2004 |
HKG
2 - 0
MAS
41%
26%
34%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2004 |
HKG
0 - 2
KWT
16%
21%
63%
|
54 | 81 | 27 | -1 |
| 09 Jun. 2004 |
KWT
4 - 0
HKG
75%
17%
9%
|
54 | 81 | 27 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2004 |
HKG
0 - 1
CHN
18%
25%
58%
|
54 | 84 | 30 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2004 |
MAS
1 - 3
HKG
58%
22%
20%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | +1 |