China vs Philippines analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.9%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
9.2%
3-0
13.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.8%
2-0
17.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.7%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.8%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
14.8%
5.3%
Win probability
0.42
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
China
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2017 |
IRN
1 - 0
CHN
64%
21%
15%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2017 |
CHN
1 - 0
KOR
31%
26%
43%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2016 |
CHN
0 - 0
QAT
49%
25%
26%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2016 |
UZB
2 - 0
CHN
40%
27%
32%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2016 |
CHN
0 - 1
SYR
62%
22%
17%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Philippines
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2017 |
PHL
4 - 1
NPL
78%
15%
7%
|
54 | 39 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2017 |
PHL
0 - 0
MAS
62%
21%
18%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2016 |
PHL
0 - 1
THA
15%
18%
67%
|
55 | 72 | 17 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2016 |
PHL
2 - 2
IDN
45%
23%
32%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
PHL
0 - 0
SGP
62%
21%
17%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |