China vs Costa Rica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.6%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
26.7%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
China
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2005 |
IRL
1 - 0
CHN
68%
21%
11%
|
85 | 93 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2005 |
ESP
3 - 0
CHN
80%
14%
6%
|
85 | 98 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2004 |
CHN
7 - 0
HKG
83%
12%
5%
|
85 | 56 | 29 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2004 |
KWT
1 - 0
CHN
41%
28%
32%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2004 |
MAS
0 - 1
CHN
16%
25%
59%
|
85 | 60 | 25 | +1 |
Matches
Costa Rica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2005 |
CRC
3 - 2
GTM
65%
21%
14%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2005 |
USA
3 - 0
CRC
63%
23%
15%
|
87 | 92 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2005 |
NOR
1 - 0
CRC
63%
23%
15%
|
87 | 92 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2005 |
TTO
0 - 0
CRC
29%
28%
44%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2005 |
CRC
2 - 1
PAN
72%
17%
10%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |