China vs Korea DPR analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.5%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
15.8%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
China
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2017 |
JPN
2 - 1
CHN
67%
19%
14%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2017 |
KOR
2 - 2
CHN
57%
23%
20%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2017 |
CHN
0 - 4
COL
24%
27%
49%
|
81 | 91 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2017 |
CHN
0 - 2
SRB
45%
26%
29%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2017 |
QAT
1 - 2
CHN
46%
25%
29%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Korea DPR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2017 |
PRK
0 - 1
KOR
19%
24%
56%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2017 |
JPN
1 - 0
PRK
77%
15%
8%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2017 |
MAS
1 - 4
PRK
10%
20%
70%
|
73 | 44 | 29 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2017 |
PRK
4 - 1
MAS
78%
16%
7%
|
72 | 44 | 28 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2017 |
LBN
5 - 0
PRK
23%
25%
51%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | -2 |