China vs Korea DPR analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.5%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
16.6%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
China
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
CHN
0 - 2
KOR
33%
25%
42%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2015 |
BTN
0 - 6
CHN
7%
16%
78%
|
83 | 28 | 55 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2015 |
CHN
1 - 1
TUN
53%
25%
23%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2015 |
CHN
2 - 2
HTI
69%
19%
12%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2015 |
CHN
0 - 2
AUS
36%
25%
39%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Korea DPR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
PRK
2 - 1
JPN
15%
21%
65%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2015 |
PRK
4 - 2
UZB
34%
26%
39%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 2015 |
YEM
0 - 3
PRK
17%
25%
58%
|
75 | 52 | 23 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2015 |
THA
0 - 1
PRK
52%
25%
23%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
VIE
1 - 1
PRK
28%
26%
46%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | 0 |