China vs Korea DPR analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.7%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.6%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.4%
9.9%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
China
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2005 |
JPN
2 - 2
CHN
68%
19%
13%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2005 |
KOR
1 - 1
CHN
63%
21%
16%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2005 |
CHN
2 - 0
CRC
48%
26%
27%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2005 |
CHN
2 - 2
CRC
48%
26%
27%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2005 |
IRL
1 - 0
CHN
68%
21%
11%
|
85 | 94 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Korea DPR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2005 |
KOR
0 - 0
PRK
80%
14%
6%
|
75 | 90 | 15 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2005 |
PRK
1 - 0
JPN
9%
17%
74%
|
74 | 90 | 16 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 2005 |
PRK
0 - 2
JPN
20%
26%
54%
|
75 | 90 | 15 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2005 |
IRN
1 - 0
PRK
71%
19%
10%
|
75 | 89 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2005 |
PRK
0 - 2
IRN
22%
25%
53%
|
75 | 89 | 14 | 0 |